TY  - JOUR
ID  - epos219
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1046/j.0956-540x.2001.01486.x
IS  - 3
A1  - Papadimitriou, Eleftheria E.
A1  - Sykes, Lynn R.
Y1  - 2001/04/16/
N2  - The evolution of the stress field in the area of the northern Aegean Sea during the 20thcentury has been studied. The area is dominated by dextral strike-slip faulting and is characterized by frequent strong earthquakes. Coulomb stress changes (?CFF) we recalculated assuming that earthquakes can be modeled as static dislocations in an elastic half-space, and taking into account both the coseismic slip in large (M?7.0) earth quakes and the slow tectonic stress build-up along the major fault segments. The stress change calculations were performed for strike-slip faults of strike, dip, and rake appropriate to the large events. We evaluate whether these stress changes brought a given large earthquake closer to, or farther from, failure. It was found that each of the large events occurred in regions of increased calculated Coulomb stress. Moreover, the majority of smaller events for which reliable fault-plane solutions are available were also located in areas of positive ?CFF. By extending the calculations to 2020, and assuming that no additional large (M?7.0) earthquake occurs between 1999 and 2020, possible sites of future large earthquakes are identified.
PB  - Oxford University Press
JF  - Geophysical Journal International
VL  - 146
SN  - 0956-540X
TI  - Evolution of the stress field in the northern Aegean Sea (Greece)
SP  - 747
AV  - none
EP  - 759
ER  -