TY - JOUR ID - epos2049 UR - http://doi.org/10.1017/njg.2017.20 IS - 05 A1 - Dost, Bernard A1 - Ruigrok, Elmer A1 - Spetzler, Jesper Y1 - 2017/12// N2 - The increase in number and strength of shallow induced seismicity connected to the Groningen gas field since 2003 and the occurrence of a ML 3.6 event in 2012 started the development of a full probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA) for Groningen, required by the regulator. Densification of the monitoring network resulted in a decrease of the location threshold and magnitude of completeness down to ? ML = 0.5. Combined with a detailed local velocity model, epicentre accuracy could be reduced from 0.5?1 km to 0.1?0.3 km and a vertical resolution ?0.3 km. Time-dependent seismic activity is observed and taken into account into PSHA calculations. Development of the Ground Motion Model for Groningen resulted in a significant reduction of the hazard. Comparison of different implementations of the PSHA, using different source models, based on either a compaction model and production scenarios or on extrapolation of past seismicity, and methods of calculation, shows similar results. PB - Cambridge University Press JF - Netherlands Journal of Geosciences VL - 96 SN - 0016-7746 TI - Development of seismicity and probabilistic hazard assessment for the Groningen gas field SP - s235 AV - none EP - s245 ER -