<> "The repository administrator has not yet configured an RDF license."^^ . <> . . . "Assessment and management of cascading effects triggering forest fires"^^ . "A crisis situation may be due to the occurrence of a single hazard event with large impacts or due to several\r\nhazard events occurring simultaneously. Hazard events occurring at the same time may have independent causes\r\nor may result from a sequence of triggering effects. The outcome of a situation for which an adverse event\r\ntriggers one or more sequential events is generally called “cascading effects”.\r\nThe perception and understanding of the potential occurrence of cascading effects is of great relevance for\r\nplanning and response activities since an unexpected scenario in an emergency may worsen the situation\r\nendangering people, goods, and may nullify a strategy that was developed accounting for a scenario in which\r\nthe triggering event was considered as a single occurrence.\r\nThis paper presents an analysis of possible scenarios of cascading effects triggered by an earthquake. A detailed\r\nquantitative example in which an earthquake causing an electric cable failure that potentially ignites a fire is\r\npresented. In particular, a methodology to assess the occurrence probability of the event chain\r\nearthquakecable failurefire ignition is presented. The final results are presented as conditional probability\r\nmaps representing each transition, namely: earthquakecable failure, cable failurefire ignition, and the\r\nassessment of the full path earthquakecable failurefire ignition.\r\nThis study is a part of a pilot application built to test the integrated crisis management system which is being\r\ndeveloped in the FP7 European Integrated Project – CRISMA (“Modelling crisis management for improved\r\naction and preparedness”"^^ . "2014" . . . "Imprensa da Universidade de Coimbra"^^ . . "Imprensa da Universidade de Coimbra"^^ . . . "Advances in Forest Fire Research"^^ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . "Domingos Xavier"^^ . "Viegas"^^ . "Domingos Xavier Viegas"^^ . . "Giulio"^^ . "Zuccaro"^^ . "Giulio Zuccaro"^^ . . "Maria"^^ . "Polese"^^ . "Maria Polese"^^ . . "Christoph"^^ . "Aubrecht"^^ . "Christoph Aubrecht"^^ . . "Domingos"^^ . "Viegas"^^ . "Domingos Viegas"^^ . . "Luís Mário"^^ . "Ribeiro"^^ . "Luís Mário Ribeiro"^^ . . "Miguel"^^ . "Almeida"^^ . "Miguel Almeida"^^ . . "Alexander"^^ . "Garcia-Aristizabal"^^ . "Alexander Garcia-Aristizabal"^^ . . "Center for the Analysis and Monitoring of Environmental Risk (AMRA),Napoli, Italia"^^ . . . "Centre for Forest Fire Research ADAI, Rua Pedro Hispano, Portugal"^^ . . . "AIT Austrian Institute of Technology GmbH, Energy Department, Vienna, Austria,"^^ . . . "Center for the Analysis and Monitoring of Environmental Risk (AMRA),Napoli, Italia"^^ . . . "Centre for Forest Fire Research ADAI, Rua Pedro Hispano, Portugal"^^ . . . "Centre for Forest Fire Research ADAI, Rua Pedro Hispano, Portugal"^^ . . . "Center for the Analysis and Monitoring of Environmental Risk (AMRA),Napoli, Italia"^^ . . . . . . "HTML Summary of #1751 \n\nAssessment and management of cascading effects triggering forest fires\n\n" . "text/html" . . . "Method and procesing" . .