?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Adc&rft.relation=https%3A%2F%2Fepisodesplatform.eu%2Feprints%2F1564%2F&rft.title=IS+MINE+EARTHQUAKE+PREDICTION+POSSIBLE%3F&rft.creator=Spottiswoode%2C+Steve&rft.subject=Method+and+procesing&rft.description=Short-term+prediction+of+large+earthquakes+and+mine+seismic+events+has+been+an+elusive+goal+for+many+years.++Some+South+African+deep-level+gold+mines+use+a+system+of+hazard+estimation+that+varies+from+day+to+day+and+that+is+meant+to+provide+warnings+of+increased+likelihood+of+impending+large+events.++In+essence%2C+this+is+an+attempt+at+predicting+the+incidence+of+large+events.++In+this+study%2C+I+look+for+any+consistent+changes+in+the+rate+or+type+of+seismicity+before+large+events+(Magnitude+M+greater+than+2.5)+in+two+mines.++The+only+consistent+change+is+a+small+increase+in+the+rate+of+seismicity+soon+before+large+events.++The+same+increased+rate+is+also+observed+before+small+events+(M+between+0.0+and+1.0).++As+small+events+are+numerous+and+rarely+pose+significant+hazard%2C+consistent+short-term+prediction+of+large+events+does+not+seem+to+be+possible.++I+therefore+recommend+that+the+daily+issuing+of+seismic+hazard+assessments+be+scrapped.&rft.publisher=SPOTTISWOODE+STEVE&rft.type=Reports&rft.type=PeerReviewed&rft.identifier=++Spottiswoode%2C+Steve+++IS+MINE+EARTHQUAKE+PREDICTION+POSSIBLE%3F++Discussion+Paper.+SPOTTISWOODE+STEVE.+++++