TY  - JOUR
ID  - epos1517
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s000240050161
IS  - 3
A1  - Kijko, Andrzej
A1  - Graham, Gerhard
N2  - A new methodology for probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) is described. The approach combines the best features of the "deductive" (Cornell, 1968) and "historical" (Veneziano et al., 1984) procedures. It can be called a "parametric-historic" procedure. The maximum regional magnitude m max is of paramount importance in this approach and Part I of our work presents some of the statistical techniques which can be used for its evaluation. The work is an analysis of parametric procedures for the evaluation of m max, when the form of the magnitude distribution is specified. For each of the formulae given there are notes on its origin, assumptions made of its derivation, and some comparisons. The statistical concepts of bias and variance are considered for each formula, and appropriate expressions for these are also given. Also, following Knopoff and Kagan (1977), we shall demonstrate why there must be a finite upper bound to the largest seismic event if the Gutenberg-Richter frequency-magnitude relation is accepted.
VL  - 152
TI  - Parametric-historic Procedure for Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis Part I: Estimation of Maximum Regional Magnitude m max
AV  - none
EP  - 442
Y1  - 1998///
PB  - Springer Verlag
JF  - Pure and Applied Geophysics
KW  - Seismic hazard
KW  -  maximum regional earthquake magnitude mmax
SN  - 0033-4553
SP  - 413
ER  -