<> "The repository administrator has not yet configured an RDF license."^^ . <> . . . "Demarcation and Scaling of Long-term Seismogenesis"^^ . "A space-time envelope of minor seismicity related to major shallow earthquakes is\nidentified from observations of the long-term Precursory Scale Increase (Y) phenomenon, which quantifies\nthe three-stage faulting model of seismogenesis. The envelope, which includes the source area of the major\nearthquake, is here demarcated for 47 earthquakes from four regions, with tectonic regimes ranging from\nsubduction to continental collision and continental transform. The earthquakes range in magnitude from\n5.8 to 8.2, and include the 24 most recent mainshocks of magnitude 6.4 and larger in the San Andreas\nsystem of California, the Hellenic Arc region of Greece, and the New Zealand region, together with the six\nmost recent mainshocks of magnitude 7.4 and larger in the Pacific Arc region of Japan. Also included are\nthe destructive earthquakes that occurred at Kobe, Japan (1995, magnitude 7.2), Izmit, Turkey (1999,\nmagnitude 7.4), and W.Tottori, Japan (2000, magnitude 7.3). The space (A P ) in the space-time envelope is\noptimised with respect to the scale increase, while the time (T P ) is the interval between the onset of the scale\nincrease and the occurrence of the earthquake. A strong correlation is found between the envelope A P T P\nand the magnitude of the earthquake; hence the conclusion that the set of precursory earthquakes\ncontained in the envelope is intrinsic to the seismogenic process. Yet A P and T P are correlated only weakly\nwith each other, suggesting that A P is affected by differences in statical conditions, such as geological\nstructure and lithology, and T P by differences in dynamical conditions, such as plate velocity. Among other\nscaling relations, predictive regressions are found between, on the one hand, the magnitude level of the\nprecursory seismicity, and on the other hand, both T P and the major earthquake magnitude. Hence\nthe method, as here applied to retrospective analysis, is potentially adaptable to long-range forecasting of\nthe place, time and magnitude of major earthquakes."^^ . "2004-01" . . "161" . "1" . . "Springer Verlag"^^ . . . "Pure and Applied Geophysics"^^ . . . "00334553" . . . . . . . . . . "David A."^^ . "Rhoades"^^ . "David A. Rhoades"^^ . . "Frank F."^^ . "Evison"^^ . "Frank F. Evison"^^ . . "Institute of Geophysics, Victoria University of Wellington, P.O. Box 600, Wellington, New Zealand"^^ . . . "Institute of Geological and Nuclear Sciences, P.O. Box 30-368, Lower Hutt, New Zealand"^^ . . . . . . "HTML Summary of #1442 \n\nDemarcation and Scaling of Long-term Seismogenesis\n\n" . "text/html" . . . "Method and procesing" . .