<> "The repository administrator has not yet configured an RDF license."^^ . <> . . . "Stress triggering and earthquake probability estimates"^^ . "Stress triggering and fault interaction concepts are beginning to be incorporated into\nquantitative earthquake probability estimates. However, the current methods are limited\nin their range of compatible earthquake nucleation models. I introduce a new general\nmethod for translating stress changes into earthquake probability changes, which can\npotentially be used with any physical fault model. Given the large uncertainties in\nearthquake probability calculations, it is unclear whether the small probability changes\nresulting from stress transfer are significant and meaningful for the purposes of seismic\nhazard assessment. I present a case study of the effect of the 1992 M7.3 Landers,\nCalifornia, earthquake on the probability of a major earthquake on the San Andreas Fault\nin southern California. This is a large event in a well-studied region, which should\nmaximize the probability change signal and minimize the uncertainty. Even for this\nscenario, the earthquake probability change for a 30 year period is not significant with\nrespect to the initial uncertainty in the earthquake probability. This example, comparisons\nwith other studies, and exploration of parameter space imply that the probability\nchanges due to stress triggering are significant only for time intervals which are short\ncompared to the repeat time of the target fault. Therefore stress change calculations will be\nuseful in long-term seismic hazard assessment only for low slip-rate faults. Otherwise,\nstress triggering calculations are best utilized in the short-term immediately following a\nmajor earthquake."^^ . "2004-04-22" . . "109" . "B4" . . "American Geophysical Union"^^ . . . "Journal of Geophysical Research"^^ . . . "01480227" . . . . . . . "Jeanne L."^^ . "Hardebeck"^^ . "Jeanne L. Hardebeck"^^ . . "Institute for Geophysics and Planetary Physics, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA"^^ . . . . . . "HTML Summary of #1439 \n\nStress triggering and earthquake probability estimates\n\n" . "text/html" . . . "Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis – time-dependent" . .