eprintid: 1389 rev_number: 13 eprint_status: archive userid: 2 dir: disk0/00/00/13/89 datestamp: 2015-02-25 08:32:09 lastmod: 2017-02-08 12:21:39 status_changed: 2015-04-27 12:10:49 type: article metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Ogata, Yosihiko corp_creators: Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan title: Monitoring of anomaly in the aftershock sequence of the 2005 earthquake of M7.0 off coast of the western Fukuoka, Japan, by the ETAS model ispublished: pub subjects: SS divisions: EPOS-P full_text_status: none abstract: Monitoring of aftershock sequences to detect lowering activity, relative to the modeled rate (the relative quiescence), becomes realistic and practical in predicting the enhancement of the likelihood of having a substantially large aftershock, or even another earthquake of similar size or larger. A significant relative quiescence in the aftershock sequence of the 2005 March earthquake of M7.0 off the western coast of Fukuoka, Japan, was reported two weeks before the largest aftershock of M5.8 that also hit the Kyushu District. The relative quiescence was discussed in relation to the stress-shadowing as inhibiting the activity due to probable precursory slips, which are retrospectively speculated in more detail. date: 2006-01-07 date_type: published publication: Geophysical Research Letters volume: 33 number: 1 publisher: American Geophysical Union pagerange: 1-4 id_number: doi:10.1029/2005GL024405 refereed: TRUE issn: 0094-8276 official_url: http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2005GL024405 access_IS-EPOS: limited owner: Publisher citation: Ogata, Yosihiko (2006) Monitoring of anomaly in the aftershock sequence of the 2005 earthquake of M7.0 off coast of the western Fukuoka, Japan, by the ETAS model. Geophysical Research Letters, 33 (1). pp. 1-4. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2005GL024405