TY  - JOUR
ID  - epos1369
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2007.01.003
IS  - 3-4
A1  - Klugel, Jens-Uwe
N2  - Based on a consistent interpretation of earthquake occurrence as a stochastic process I demonstrate that the mathematical model of Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) as it is in use today is inaccurate and leads to systematic errors in the calculation process. These mathematical errors may be regarded as an important contributor to the unrealistic results obtained by traditional PSHA for low probabilities of exceedance in recent projects.
VL  - 90
TI  - Error inflation in Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis
AV  - none
EP  - 192
Y1  - 2007/01//
PB  - Elsevier Science
JF  - Engineering Geology
KW  - Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis; Error; Ground motion prediction
SN  - 0013-7952
SP  - 186
ER  -