TY - JOUR ID - epos1342 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1148783 IS - 5866 A1 - Marsan, David A1 - Lengline, Olivier Y1 - 2008/02/22/ N2 - Earthquakes, whatever their size, can trigger other earthquakes. Mainshocks cause aftershocks to occur, which in turn activate their own local aftershock sequences, resulting in a cascade of triggering that extends the reach of the initial mainshock. A long-lasting difficulty is to determine which earthquakes are connected, either directly or indirectly. Here we show that this causal structure can be found probabilistically, with no a priori model nor parameterization. Large regional earthquakes are found to have a short direct influence in comparison to the overall aftershock sequence duration. Relative to these large mainshocks, small earthquakes collectively have a greater effect on triggering. Hence, cascade triggering is a key component in earthquake interactions. PB - American Association for the Advancement of Science JF - Science VL - 319 SN - 0036-8075 TI - Extending Earthquakes' Reach Through Cascading SP - 1076 AV - none EP - 1079 ER -