eprintid: 1334 rev_number: 14 eprint_status: archive userid: 2 dir: disk0/00/00/13/34 datestamp: 2015-02-23 10:55:23 lastmod: 2017-02-08 12:21:33 status_changed: 2015-04-27 12:10:42 type: article metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Douglas, John creators_name: Aochi, Hideo creators_id: j.douglas@brgm.fr creators_id: corp_creators: ARN/RIS, BRGM, BP 36009, 3 Avenue C. Guillemin, 45060 Orleans Cedex 2, France title: A Survey of Techniques for Predicting Earthquake Ground Motions for Engineering Purposes ispublished: pub subjects: MP3_2 divisions: EPOS-P full_text_status: none keywords: Earthquake, Earthquake scenario, Seismic hazard assessment, Strong ground motion, Ground-motion prediction abstract: Over the past four or five decades many advances have been made in earthquake ground-motion prediction and a variety of procedures have been proposed. Some of these procedures are based on explicit physical models of the earthquake source, travelpath and recording site while others lack a strong physical basis and seek only to replicate observations. In addition, there are a number of hybrid methods that seek to combine benefits of different approaches. The various techniques proposed have their adherents and some of them are extensively used to estimate ground motions for engineering design purposes and in seismic hazard research. These methods all have their own advantages and limitations that are not often discussed by their proponents. The purposes of this article are to: summarise existing methods and the most important references, provide a family tree showing the connections between different methods and, most importantly, to discuss the advantages and disadvantages of each method. date: 2008-10-10 date_type: published publication: Surveys in Geophysics volume: 29 number: 3 publisher: Springer Verlag pagerange: 187-220 id_number: doi:10.1007/s10712-008-9046-y refereed: TRUE issn: 0169-3298 official_url: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10712-008-9046-y access_IS-EPOS: limited owner: Publisher citation: Douglas, John and Aochi, Hideo (2008) A Survey of Techniques for Predicting Earthquake Ground Motions for Engineering Purposes. Surveys in Geophysics, 29 (3). pp. 187-220. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-008-9046-y <https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-008-9046-y>