TY  - JOUR
ID  - epos1242
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10950-014-9417-4
IS  - 3
A1  - Hallo, Miroslav
A1  - Oprsal, Ivo
A1  - Eisner, Leo
A1  - Ali, Mohammed Y.
N2  - We propose a method for determining the possible magnitude of a potentially largest induced seismic event derived from the Gutenberg?Richter law and an estimate of total released seismic moment. We emphasize that the presented relationship is valid for induced (not triggered) seismicity, as the total seismic moment of triggered seismicity is not bound by the injection. The ratio of the moment released by the largest event and weaker events is determined by the constants a and b of the Gutenberg?Richter law. We show that for a total released seismic moment, it is possible to estimate number of events greater than a given magnitude. We determine the formula for the moment magnitude of a probable largest seismic event with one occurrence within the recurrence interval (given by one volumetric change caused by mining or injecting). Finally, we compare theoretical and measured values of the moment magnitudes of the largest induced seismic events for selected geothermal and hydraulic fracturing projects.
VL  - 18
TI  - Prediction of magnitude of the largest potentially induced seismic event
AV  - none
EP  - 431
Y1  - 2014/01//
PB  - Springer Verlag
JF  - Journal of Seismology
KW  - Magnitude
KW  -  Seismic moment
KW  -  b value
KW  -  Induced events
KW  -         Microseismicity
KW  -  Hydraulic fracturing
KW  -  Enhanced geothermal systems
SN  - 1383-4649
SP  - 421
ER  -