Statistical Estimation of Seismic Hazard Parameters: Maximum Possible Magnitude and Related Parameters

Pisarenko, Vladilen and Lyubushin, Alexey and Lysenko, V. B. and Golubeva, T. V. (1996) Statistical Estimation of Seismic Hazard Parameters: Maximum Possible Magnitude and Related Parameters. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 86 (3). pp. 691-700.

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Abstract

The problem of statistical estimation of earthquake hazard parameters is considered. The emphasis is on estimation of the maximum regional magnitude, Mmax, and the maximum magnitude, Mmax(T), in a future time interval T and quantiles of its distribution. Two estimators are suggested: an unbiased estimator with the lowest possible variance and a Bayesian estimator. As an illustration, these methods are applied for the estimation of Mmax and related parameters in California and Italy.

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Item Type: Article
Subjects: Methodology > Method and procesing > Collective properties of seismicity > Source size distribution
Methodology > Method and procesing > Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis - stationary > Source effect
Project: IS-EPOS project